Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic Party’s nominee, and she will most likely win the 2016 election.
When you see the objective conditions of the Republican Party today and most likely over the next 2 years and compare them to Clinton’s strengths, it’s hard not to make such a prediction with utter confidence.
Republicans will wail at her desire for privacy in not turning over her personal emails, but look at America’s angst on this very topic. Some citizens feel that our privacy has been compromised, by everyone from the government to Russian hackers; that our private information is under a threat.
The Washington press corps has been foaming at the mouth, an expected reaction. At a recent networking event of political reporters, one 2016 campaign beat journalist, writing for a major national paper, was almost salivating. “It’s just like the Clintons!” he cried. “So typical! This is huge!”
And while the Benghazi Brigade in the GOP is still marching along in the desert, hoping to stumble on to a smoking gun, their political horseplay in not releasing the voluminous collection of Clinton’s email that they possess will only further tarnish their credibility. And there is no polling that I’ve seen that shows that Benghazi is even a remotely relevant issue for the non-Tea Party majority of the electorate.
It’s no wonder, then, that the 2016 GOP pre-candidates have stayed largely quiet on the Clinton email brouhaha. You can bet that more than one of those candidates has used various email accounts themselves while in office. The widespread ownership of email glass houses makes it awkward, if not outright dangerous, for these candidates to throw rocks at Clinton. In fact, former Governor Jeb Bush was quite loquacious with his private email account , even using it to discuss security issues and troop deployments.
If any of these candidates think that Clinton’s email stew will both endure and be a factor in 2016, they are getting bad advice. As nonpartisan Charlie Cook in National Journal pointed out, there are much more real, politically relevant and resonant issues that will either result in Clinton presidency or an upset.
Clinton has a built-in advantage… her gender. It now looks that she will use the glass-ceiling theme to connect with millions of people who think that the disparities in opportunity, income and talent-based achievement between men and women is not only unfair, but damaging to all women, two-income families and the economy.
A percentage of Americans, likely a large one, would like to cast a historic vote. When polling points to Americans wanting “change,” what bigger change than a woman as president?
Clinton is white. Yes, President Obama was elected twice, with millions of votes over the 50% victory threshold. But looking at the election data that show a precipitous drop in his support among white voters, relative to past Democratic candidates, one can infer some racial bias in a sliver of the electorate. Clinton will be able to attract those voters simply because she is not an African-American man.
Lastly, the first couple of months of Republican congressional predominance has been an exercise in immigrant-baiting. Republicans seem to have an intrinsic need to attack undocumented immigrants.
Why Hillary Clinton Could Be The Next U.S. President.